Bayern München vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BYM
3 - 1
SCF
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
OSN
2 - 3
BYM
16%
25%
59%
|
91 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BVB
2 - 2
BYM
31%
26%
42%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
MTA
0 - 1
BYM
23%
27%
50%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BYM
1 - 0
ARB
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BOS
0 - 5
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 1
JUV
46%
25%
30%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ADO
3 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |