UCL Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Bayern München vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
KOL
3 - 1
BYM
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
BYM
1 - 0
MUN
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
HSV
1 - 1
BYM
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
GÖT
2 - 2
BYM
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
BYM
1 - 1
MSV
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
SCH
3 - 3
AJA
21%
22%
58%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
TWE
0 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
AJA
8 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
AJA
5 - 1
NEC
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
AJA
3 - 0
HKS
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |