Bayern München vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
4º
1º
40
4º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
M05
0 - 4
BYM
5%
10%
86%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 5
BYM
4%
8%
88%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
4 - 1
BYM
26%
20%
54%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 0
STU
72%
16%
11%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 3
BYM
7%
12%
81%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 0
FCU
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
EIN
27%
23%
49%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 2
FCU
30%
26%
44%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCU
2 - 1
BVB
13%
19%
68%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
FCU
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |