Bayern München vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 3
BYM
14%
17%
69%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
BYM
6%
12%
82%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BYM
0 - 3
NAP
78%
14%
8%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BYM
0 - 2
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 2
AJA
78%
13%
8%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
KOL
3 - 1
HER
32%
25%
42%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CZJ
1 - 1
KOL
5%
11%
84%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 1
RJC
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 1
ELV
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 0
SCH
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |