Bayern München U19 vs FC Augsburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+131%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
2º
1º
19
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ING
0 - 6
BYM
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
2 - 5
PSG
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
2 - 1
SJR
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 3
BEN
7%
12%
81%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
2 - 2
MUN
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
FC Augsburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AUG
5 - 1
SJR
79%
12%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 2
AUG
57%
19%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AUG
3 - 3
GRE
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 1
AUG
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
3 - 1
SSU
54%
20%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |