B. Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BVB
3 - 2
LEV
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 1
KRA
53%
23%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 0
F95
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
KRA
0 - 0
LEV
39%
25%
37%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
M05
1 - 5
LEV
23%
23%
55%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SCF
5 - 1
AUG
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
S04
0 - 0
SCF
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SCF
3 - 3
WOL
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
STU
2 - 2
SCF
28%
24%
49%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SCF
2 - 4
HOF
17%
20%
63%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |