B. Leverkusen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BYM
2 - 1
LEV
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
OSA
1 - 0
LEV
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
LEV
1 - 4
BOC
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
LEV
0 - 3
OSA
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
M05
1 - 3
LEV
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
FCN
4 - 0
EIN
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FCN
1 - 0
AAA
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCN
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
FCN
2 - 1
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BVB
0 - 0
FCN
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |