B. Leverkusen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ROM
3 - 2
LEV
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 1
LEV
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
VIK
0 - 6
LEV
14%
22%
65%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LEV
4 - 3
STU
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
LEV
4 - 4
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
KOL
0 - 0
HOF
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 0
KOL
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BYM
4 - 0
KOL
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
KOL
0 - 1
HAN
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
S04
0 - 3
KOL
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |