B. Leverkusen U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+181%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
10º
3º
28
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
WUP
1 - 0
LEV
9%
15%
75%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SCV
2 - 1
LEV
10%
15%
75%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 2
SCH
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
LEV
27%
22%
52%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
4 - 1
SCP
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 3
SCP
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 1
FOR
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SCV
1 - 2
ARM
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 3
KOL
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOR
3 - 1
ARM
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |