B. Leverkusen II vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BAY
7 - 1
BSC
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MSV
2 - 2
BAY
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
BAY
0 - 1
FCB
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BFR
0 - 3
BAY
15%
19%
65%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
BAY
3 - 1
WUP
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BOR
1 - 1
SWE
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 2
VEL
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
DUS
1 - 2
SWE
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SWE
5 - 1
YUK
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FCJ
3 - 0
SWE
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -3 |