B. Leverkusen II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
LIP
1 - 1
BAY
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 0
S04
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +3 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
KRA
5 - 1
BAY
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 0
ROT
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 0
HUL
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 1
WIE
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
DIE
1 - 0
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 0
DIE
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
DIE
9 - 0
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
VIK
2 - 1
DIE
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |