B. Leverkusen II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
S04
2 - 4
BAY
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 0
WAT
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 3
BAY
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 0
KFC
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ROT
1 - 1
BAY
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
KÖL
2 - 2
WIE
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VIK
1 - 1
KÖL
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
KÖL
1 - 0
SPO
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 1
KÖL
20%
25%
56%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
KÖL
1 - 0
BOR
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |