B. Leverkusen II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 1
BAY
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 1
VER
28%
26%
45%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +4 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
BAY
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
0 - 0
ROT
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
KÖL
4 - 0
HUL
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BER
1 - 5
KÖL
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KÖL
0 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
KÖL
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 2
KÖL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |