B. Leverkusen II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
DRE
5 - 1
BAY
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BAY
3 - 1
CHE
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
KFC
1 - 2
BAY
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
BAY
1 - 1
LUB
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
BAY
1 - 4
F95
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 1
WAT
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ERZ
4 - 0
KÖL
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 3
EBT
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
HOL
2 - 1
KÖL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 4
PRE
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |