B. Leverkusen II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
BAY
1 - 0
WIE
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BAY
1 - 2
SPO
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
S04
1 - 1
BAY
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MAI
3 - 0
BAY
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 3
BOR
17%
20%
63%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
WIE
5 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
PRE
21%
26%
53%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
S04
0 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
21%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
BOC
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
KAI
0 - 4
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +3 |