Bayburt vs Payas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayburt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ERZ
0 - 4
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
HEA
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 1
BAY
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 0
GOL
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
PAZ
2 - 0
BAY
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Payas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PAY
0 - 2
KOC
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
YEN
2 - 0
PAY
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BOL
4 - 1
PAY
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 0
BSK
38%
27%
36%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SER
2 - 2
PAY
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |