Bayburt vs Fatsa Belediye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayburt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
146
0 - 1
BAY
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MUL
1 - 1
BAY
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 1
ANK
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
KAR
0 - 1
BAY
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 1
COR
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FAT
0 - 0
KOC
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 1
YEN
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
BSK
1 - 0
FAT
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FAT
2 - 0
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +4 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BUC
1 - 1
FAT
74%
15%
12%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |