Bayburt vs Erbaaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
57.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
14º
12º
57
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayburt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BUY
1 - 1
BAY
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
VBK
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 1
FAT
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
4EY
2 - 1
BAY
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 2
OSK
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Erbaaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ERB
2 - 1
ANA
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 1
ERB
32%
28%
41%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
BKS
1 - 1
ERB
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ERB
6 - 0
AKB
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 1
ERB
18%
25%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |