Bayburt vs 1923 Mustafakemalpaşa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
15º
14º
32
1º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayburt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 0
BER
41%
27%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
YOZ
2 - 1
BAY
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | -3 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KIY
0 - 0
BAY
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
OSK
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 1
BAY
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
1923 Mustafakemalpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 2
OSK
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
YOR
0 - 1
BUR
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 1
CSP
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKS
2 - 3
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
ANK
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |