Brera Ilch FC vs FC Ulaanbaatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
63.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 0
BSI
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BSI
0 - 3
DER
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
KHO
3 - 0
BSI
64%
16%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TBF
1 - 20
BSI
53%
19%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BSI
2 - 1
KHC
38%
21%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ULA
2 - 1
HFC
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ULA
0 - 0
KHA
46%
22%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SPF
0 - 0
ULA
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
DER
2 - 0
ULA
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ULA
1 - 2
KHO
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |