Brera Ilch FC vs FC Ulaanbaatar analysis

Brera Ilch FC FC Ulaanbaatar
17 ELO 28
0.4% Tilt 10%
12923º General ELO ranking 9334º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.2%
Brera Ilch FC
18.4%
Draw
63.3%
FC Ulaanbaatar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
Brera Ilch FC
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
63.3%
Win probability
FC Ulaanbaatar
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brera Ilch FC
-21%
-3%
FC Ulaanbaatar

ELO progression

Brera Ilch FC
FC Ulaanbaatar
Khoromkhon
Tuv Azarganuud
FC Deren
SP Falcons
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brera Ilch FC
Brera Ilch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
SPF
SP Falcons
2 - 0
Brera Ilch FC
BSI
71%
16%
13%
18 28 10 0
22 Mar. 2025
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
0 - 3
FC Deren
DER
20%
19%
61%
19 28 9 -1
15 Mar. 2025
KHO
Khoromkhon
3 - 0
Brera Ilch FC
BSI
64%
16%
20%
19 21 2 0
20 Oct. 2024
TBF
Tuv Azarganuud
1 - 20
Brera Ilch FC
BSI
53%
19%
28%
18 16 2 +1
12 Oct. 2024
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
2 - 1
Khovd
KHC
38%
21%
41%
17 18 1 +1

Matches

FC Ulaanbaatar
FC Ulaanbaatar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2025
ULA
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 - 1
Hunters FC
HFC
80%
12%
8%
27 16 11 0
22 Mar. 2025
ULA
FC Ulaanbaatar
0 - 0
Khangarid
KHA
46%
22%
33%
27 28 1 0
15 Mar. 2025
SPF
SP Falcons
0 - 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
ULA
48%
22%
30%
27 28 1 0
09 Mar. 2025
DER
FC Deren
2 - 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
ULA
46%
22%
32%
28 28 0 -1
13 Oct. 2024
ULA
FC Ulaanbaatar
1 - 2
Khoromkhon
KHO
75%
14%
11%
31 21 10 -3