Brera Ilch FC vs FC Deren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
60.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
KHO
3 - 0
BSI
64%
16%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TBF
1 - 20
BSI
53%
19%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BSI
2 - 1
KHC
38%
21%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ERC
4 - 1
BSI
83%
10%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
KHA
2 - 0
BSI
82%
11%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
DER
2 - 0
HFC
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
DER
2 - 0
ULA
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 1
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DER
1 - 2
KHA
48%
21%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
KHO
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |