Bay Olympic vs West Auckland Kiwi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
PFC
1 - 0
BAO
8%
13%
79%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CEN
5 - 0
BAO
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
WSU
1 - 2
BAO
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
WES
2 - 3
BAO
54%
21%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
HAW
2 - 2
BAO
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |