Bay Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BAO
2 - 0
BIR
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
NSH
2 - 1
BAO
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
BAO
1 - 1
MEL
69%
16%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
WES
6 - 0
BAO
43%
22%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
BAO
3 - 0
WAI
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
HWA
3 - 4
ESU
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ESU
0 - 1
AFC
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
FHM
2 - 0
ESU
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
CEN
0 - 2
ESU
89%
9%
2%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
ESU
2 - 3
BIR
12%
19%
70%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |