Baumgarten vs FAC Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
BAU
3 - 1
SCF
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 1
BAU
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 3
OST
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 3
MAT
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SVH
0 - 0
BAU
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
RIT
1 - 1
FAC
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
OST
0 - 2
FAC
54%
22%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
FAC
1 - 3
MAT
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
FAC
2 - 1
FCW
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 0
FAC
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |