Baumgarten vs Admira Wacker II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
RAP
5 - 0
BAU
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 1
WUR
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
MAT
4 - 2
BAU
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 2
OST
38%
23%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
SVH
1 - 0
BAU
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Admira Wacker II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
ADM
1 - 1
OST
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
SVH
1 - 1
ADM
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
ZWE
0 - 1
ADM
17%
22%
60%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
ADM
0 - 1
FCW
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 2
ADM
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |