BATE Borisov vs Vitebsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
12º
12º
18
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 64 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 27 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
NAF
3 - 4
BAT
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
ZOR
0 - 1
BAT
16%
21%
64%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
BAT
0 - 2
MIN
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
NAF
2 - 2
BAT
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
SLA
1 - 1
BAT
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
DNP
0 - 1
VIT
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SLA
4 - 0
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
VIT
0 - 0
NEM
40%
29%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
TOR
3 - 2
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCS
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |