Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 3-7
BATE Borisov vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SHF
5 - 1
BAT
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
BAT
3 - 5
ARI
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
ARI
6 - 2
BAT
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
BAT
2 - 0
PAR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
BAT
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 2
SHF
11%
23%
67%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SHF
5 - 1
BAT
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
SHF
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
4 - 1
SHF
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
SHF
1 - 0
MAC
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |