UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 4-2
BATE Borisov vs SJK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
ISL
1 - 3
BAT
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
FKG
1 - 1
BAT
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 0
VIT
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 2
BAT
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
BAT
5 - 0
FKK
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SJK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
SEI
3 - 2
PK3
64%
23%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ILV
2 - 1
SEI
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
INT
1 - 3
SEI
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
HAK
1 - 6
SEI
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
SEI
2 - 3
HJK
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |