Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 2-1
BATE Borisov vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BAT
4 - 1
ZOR
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 2
BAT
43%
25%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
BAT
8 - 1
TAR
81%
15%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
RBK
2 - 0
BAT
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
BAT
2 - 1
RBK
43%
27%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 2
BAT
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 0
SLO
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ČEL
0 - 0
SAR
14%
24%
63%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
ZRI
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 1
SAR
62%
21%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |