UCL Qualifying Play-offs Final
Global 2-6
BATE Borisov vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 1
QAR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
QAR
0 - 1
BAT
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
HJK
1 - 2
BAT
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
BAT
0 - 0
HJK
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
BAT
2 - 0
MIN
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
PSV
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PSV
4 - 0
UTR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PSV
0 - 0
FEY
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
PSV
2 - 1
VCF
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
PSV
4 - 0
OLP
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |