BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
8º
4º
23
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 0
BAT
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
BAT
0 - 2
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 1
SLA
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 1
BAT
28%
27%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 2
TOR
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FKS
3 - 1
NAF
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
SLA
1 - 0
NAF
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
ISL
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TOR
5 - 0
NAF
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |