Cup Belarus Semi-finals
Global 2-2
BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 3
BAT
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BAT
3 - 3
DNM
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
NAF
2 - 2
BAT
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 3
BAT
33%
27%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 0
SHA
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 0
NAF
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAF
0 - 0
FKG
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
NAF
2 - 2
BAT
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
NAF
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAF
0 - 1
SLA
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |