Cup Belarus Semi-finals
Global 0-3
BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAT
2 - 0
FCS
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
MIN
0 - 1
BAT
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
NAF
1 - 0
BAT
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BAT
1 - 0
DNP
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAT
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NAF
1 - 0
TOR
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
PMI
4 - 0
NAF
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
NAF
1 - 0
BAT
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 1
NAF
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NAF
0 - 1
GOM
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -2 |