Q. Europa League 4th Round Final
Global 5-1
BATE Borisov vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAT
2 - 0
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
FCK
3 - 2
BAT
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
BAT
0 - 0
FCK
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
DNP
0 - 2
BAT
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
FHH
0 - 1
BAT
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
VST
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 2
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
8 - 2
BAN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
SFI
2 - 3
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 2
SFI
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |