UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-2
BATE Borisov vs Piast Gliwice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
DNM
1 - 2
BAT
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
BAT
3 - 0
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
SPU
2 - 5
BAT
16%
20%
65%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
ISL
0 - 0
BAT
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
BAT
3 - 1
SHA
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
7 - 1
MIE
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
PGL
2 - 2
MGJ
79%
16%
6%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
PGL
2 - 2
SER
63%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PGL
1 - 0
LPO
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
POG
0 - 0
PGL
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |