UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 3-1
BATE Borisov vs Ekranas Panevezys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
BAT
20%
27%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
FKE
0 - 0
BAT
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
FKG
0 - 7
BAT
24%
23%
54%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 0
LIN
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
BAT
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
FKE
1 - 0
FAS
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
FKE
0 - 0
BAT
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
FKE
1 - 0
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 3
FKE
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
FKE
0 - 0
KRU
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |