Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 1-3
BATE Borisov vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 2
WOL
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
PAO
1 - 3
BAT
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 2
BAT
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
BAT
2 - 0
FHV
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BAT
4 - 1
LMI
75%
18%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 2
ARS
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 1
ARS
73%
15%
11%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 3
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHL
42%
25%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |