BATE Borisov II vs Osipovichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
78.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2054%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
10º
10º
10
9º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 68 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 67 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 61 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 61 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 58 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 57 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 57 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 56 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 53 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 46 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 45 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 39 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 38 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 32 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 30 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 25 |
17º
|
43% | |
|
|
17º
|
10 | 21 |
18º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BAT
1 - 1
FCN
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 64 | 52 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BAT
7 - 2
ORS
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | +3 |
Matches
Osipovichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DNP
3 - 2
OSI
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
OSI
1 - 1
FBG
11%
20%
70%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
MIO
2 - 1
OSI
72%
15%
12%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DNP
1 - 0
OSI
84%
11%
4%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
OSI
1 - 4
FCN
13%
17%
70%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |