De Bataven vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Bataven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ROH
3 - 3
DEB
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DEB
0 - 4
SIL
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -3 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
JUL
6 - 2
DEB
56%
21%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
DEB
2 - 1
GER
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 2
DEB
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
DIE
74%
16%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 5
QUI
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 0
HOL
69%
17%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 10
SOU
11%
21%
68%
|
44 | 86 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FVC
0 - 4
QUI
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |