De Bataven vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Bataven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 1
DEB
56%
21%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
DEM
3 - 3
DEB
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
DEB
1 - 1
AWC
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SDO
7 - 3
DEB
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
DEB
1 - 1
SIL
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FWO
1 - 0
MSC
25%
20%
55%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FWO
2 - 2
ALC
30%
21%
49%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 1
FWO
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FWO
0 - 0
ACH
18%
18%
64%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BEQ
1 - 0
FWO
58%
19%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |