Bataisk 2007 vs Astrakhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bataisk 2007
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
ENE
0 - 0
BAT
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BAT
0 - 0
ROT
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BAT
1 - 5
ZHE
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
BAT
6 - 0
ROT
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2008 |
AST
1 - 3
BAT
21%
25%
55%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
AST
2 - 0
ANG
35%
26%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
AVV
0 - 0
AST
58%
23%
19%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AST
3 - 1
DAG
36%
26%
39%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
AST
0 - 3
FKS
20%
24%
56%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
DAG
2 - 2
AST
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |