Bastogne vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 2
BAS
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
VAU
35%
23%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
ROS
44%
24%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
VAU
2 - 1
BAS
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
4 - 1
BAS
65%
18%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MES
2 - 3
HAL
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MES
1 - 3
OPP
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
CHA
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
OPP
0 - 0
MES
39%
24%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VAU
2 - 0
MES
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |