Bastogne vs Meix-Devant-Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VAU
1 - 1
BAS
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 0
FLO
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 2
BAS
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
OPP
4 - 1
BAS
67%
19%
15%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
OPP
0 - 2
BAS
71%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Meix-Devant-Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAR
1 - 1
MEI
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MEI
0 - 0
VAU
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
MEI
0 - 4
AYW
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MEI
1 - 3
OPP
26%
23%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SPR
3 - 2
MEI
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |