Bastogne vs Meix-Devant-Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAI
2 - 1
BAS
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
LIB
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VAU
1 - 2
BAS
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 2
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
LIB
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Meix-Devant-Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MEI
2 - 1
WEL
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
MEI
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MEI
0 - 2
MOR
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
JSH
0 - 4
MEI
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
WAR
3 - 0
MEI
82%
13%
6%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |