Bastogne vs Champlon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 3
BAS
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FON
2 - 0
BAS
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 5
MEI
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAI
2 - 1
BAS
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 2
LAR
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Champlon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 2
EBE
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 1
CHA
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
WEL
2 - 0
CHA
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
JEU
0 - 1
CHA
14%
18%
68%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
FON
85%
10%
5%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |