CD Basto vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FUE
11 - 2
CDB
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CDB
1 - 4
GRA
11%
20%
69%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ALH
7 - 0
CDB
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CDB
0 - 3
TOR
11%
20%
69%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ALM
2 - 0
CDB
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALB
41%
28%
31%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
VAN
1 - 0
MAR
31%
28%
40%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
HUE
1 - 3
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 1
GRA
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |