Bastida vs Vermezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ROB
0 - 3
BAS
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
4 - 0
BAS
36%
24%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
5 - 2
BIA
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vermezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VER
3 - 0
BIA
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
VER
43%
23%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VER
1 - 2
LOM
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
VER
17%
20%
63%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VER
2 - 1
CIS
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |