Bastida vs Varzi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
59.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ABB
1 - 0
BAS
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 1
VIS
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
LOM
2 - 2
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VER
0 - 1
BAS
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
ROB
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
BIA
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
VAR
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIS
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
LOM
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
VAR
16%
19%
64%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |