Bastida vs Nord Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
4 - 0
BAS
36%
24%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
5 - 2
BIA
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
LOM
26%
23%
52%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Nord Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
BIA
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
NOR
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 2
LOM
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 2
CIS
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |