Bastia vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
BAS
0 - 1
AUX
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 0
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1981 |
PSG
3 - 1
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
SOC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
LIL
2 - 0
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
VAL
0 - 1
GIR
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
LYO
3 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
ASS
5 - 1
VAL
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1981 |
VAL
2 - 1
ASN
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |